If my math is right, 36 out of 45 blue chip prospects are redshirt sophomores, redshirt freshman and true freshman.

In order to keep 50 percent BCR we would have needed to replace 7 blue chip prospects. We can now count Yary in the equation while taking out Pama. At the current time we have 4 guys rated 4 stars or better for 21. If things were to stand pat today that would put us at 42 out of 85 guys who are blue chippers. Below 50 percent. Here is hoping for a better 2022 class! Good start with a true 4 star and a TE who will end up as a 4 star.

We will take about 14 guys for the 22 class. There are only 3 juniors who classify as 4 star players. I count it as 2 have already commited so if nothing happens for 21 class, we have a chance to get above water again for 22 easily.